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Elon Musk nas žene proti 'bolj gladki' singularnosti
Objavljeno Apr 06, 2022

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Joe Allen, Singularity Weekly

5. april 2022

 

Elon Musk je, ko je zaviral tehno-prerokbo Raya Kurzweila, pred kratkim napovedal "bolj gladek" prehod k izumrtju humanosti. Je pa kul, zaradi svobode govora in ukrajinskih satelitov in podobnega.

Poleg tega, koga briga za transčloveško četrto industrijsko revolucijo, dokler se dogaja počasi?

Kakor koli že, se morate vprašati, od kod Musku te nore ideje.

Ray Kurzweil, vodilni Googlov direktor za raziskave in razvoj, slavno napoveduje, da bodo okoli leta 2045 konvergentna področja genomike, robotike, nanotehnologije in umetne inteligence dosegla prelomno točko. Kot je zapisal v svoji knjigi iz leta 2005 Singularnost je blizu:

V nekaj desetletjih bodo tehnologije, ki temeljijo na informacijah, zajemale vse človeško znanje in spretnosti, navsezadnje vključno z močmi prepoznavanja vzorcev, spretnostmi reševanja problemov ter čustveno in moralno inteligenco samih človeških možganov. … Singularnost bo predstavljala vrhunec združitve našega biološkega razmišljanja in obstoja z našo tehnologijo, kar bo povzročilo svet, ki je še vedno človeški, vendar presega naše biološke korenine. Ne bo razlike, post-singularnosti, med človekom in strojem ali med fizično in virtualno resničnostjo.

Po »zakonu pospeševanja donosov« bo ta Singularnost videla, da se bodo stroji tako hitro samoizboljševali, da bodo nenadoma postali nerazumljivi za svoje človeške ustvarjalce – in zato v celoti pod našim nadzorom –, zaradi česar se bomo zlili z njimi kot školjke na trupu ladje.

Se pravi, če nas prej ne ubijejo.

Ker bo pospešek proti Singularnosti eksponenten, bo po Kurzweilu videti, kot da bi se transformacija zgodila naenkrat. Medtem ko je večina starih ljudi zgrožena nad možnostjo, Kurzweil iskreno verjame, da bo hitra asimilacija tega nanobotskega borga najboljša stvar, ki se nam bo zgodila od narezanega kruha.

Ker je Musk vsaj v javnosti nekoliko bolj razumen, je že dolgo izražal zaskrbljenost, da bi eksplozija umetne inteligence lahko pomenila naše izumrtje. Njegovo stališče je globoko utemeljeno s transhumanističnim oxfordskim filozofom Nickom Bostromom, čigar knjiga Superintelligence iz leta 2014 poudarja, kako nepredvidljiva je ta situacija v resnici:

Strokovna mnenja o prihodnosti umetne inteligence se zelo razlikujejo. Obstajajo nesoglasja glede časovnih okvirov in tudi o tem, kakšne oblike bi lahko AI sčasoma sprejela. Napovedi o prihodnjem razvoju umetne inteligence, je zapisala ena študija, »so tako samozavestne, kot so raznolike«.

S to raznolikostjo v mislih Bostrom oblikuje vse možne načine, kako bi lahko umetna superinteligenca tiho prehitela človeštvo, pridobila odločilno strateško prednost in nato porabila vse na svoji poti:

Zahrbtni obrat … Ko postane AI dovolj močna – brez opozorila ali provokacije – udari, oblikuje eno samostojnico in začne neposredno optimizirati svet v skladu z merili, ki jih navajajo njegove končne vrednosti.

Z drugimi besedami, ljudje se spremenijo v robotsko gorivo. Elon Musk to idejo jemlje zelo resno, vendar to ni preprečilo, da bi poskušal razviti močno umetno inteligenco.

Ne moreš ustaviti napredka, človek.

Ko so ga v intervjuju za Business Insider 26. marca vprašali, o njegovem pogledu na Singularity, je Musk ponudil nenavadno blazen odgovor:

Nisem prepričan, ali obstaja zelo ostra meja. Mislim, da je veliko bolj gladko. … Naše človeške možgane smo že močno razširili z računalniki. Lahko bi bilo zanimivo razmerje, če bi približno izračunali količino digitalnega računanja, deljeno s količino računanja, ki je biološka. In kako se to razmerje sčasoma spreminja. Ker se toliko digitalnega računalništva dogaja tako hitro, bi se to razmerje moralo hitro povečevati.

Povedano drugače, ker naše misli absorbirajo stroji, se naši možgani digitalizirajo. Na vprašanje, ali bi nekega dne lahko "prenesli zmogljivost naših človeških možganov" v Teslin novi humanoidni robot Optimus, "kar bi bil drugačen način večnega življenja," je Musk odgovoril:

Da, lahko bi prenesli stvari, za katere verjamemo, da so edinstvene ... kar zadeva ohranjanje naših spominov, naše osebnosti, mislim, da bi to lahko storili.

V nekem trenutku je Muskov intervjuvalec izgubil oprijem in se je navdušil nad fanboyom. "Rešili ste toliko problemov človeštva in predstavili toliko rešitev," je vzkliknil. Kaj pa podaljšana življenjska doba?

To bi povzročilo zadušitev družbe, ker resnica je, da se večina ljudi ne premisli. Samo umrejo. Torej, če ne bodo umrli, bomo obtičali pri starih idejah in družba ne bo napredovala.

Nekaj ​​dni pozneje se je Musk oglasil na Twitterju, da bi opomnil svet, da potrebujemo več dojenčkov, verjetno zato, da bi vanjw zabodel čipe Neuralink, kot v vpijoče opice makako.

A few days after that, Musk bought nearly ten percent of Twitter’s stock, making him the company’s largest stakeholder. Our hero! Now the masses can discuss post-op tranny suicides and racially insensitive crime stats as they upload their personalities to the borg.

Meanwhile, Tesla is developing an army of robot slaves to place in people’s homes next year, where they can do chores and upload their masters’ every thought and action. The company is already filling the highways with electric self-driving cars—from the Western world to China—simultaneously reducing carbon emissions and human autonomy.

All the while, these bots will be gathering real-world data. Perhaps Musk can add confidential Twitter data to the massive influx.

This flood of physical, digital, and psychological information will soon pour into Tesla’s data centers to train the company’s already impressive AI systems. As Tesla’s algorithms come to resemble the workings of the human brain—or rather, some autistic alien brain—Musk hopes to make the breakthrough to artificial general intelligence, aka the Super Computer God.

Foreseeing this digital deity’s supreme power, Musk hopes his Neuralink brain chips will allow us to interface with the divinized Machine.

The Singularity may be coming on slowly, but Elon Musk is moving fast.

As the Great Reset unfolds, it’s fitting that the world’s richest man is also a transhumanist celebrity. Robots, sentient AI, bionic brain chips, fully immersive virtual reality, space colonization, simulation theory—I’m struggling to think of one tenet of transhumanism that Musk hasn’t brought to public consciousness.

It’s impossible to know where his head is at, but piecing together Musk’s sound bytes and tweets, one hears echoes of the Carnegie Mellon roboticist, Hans Moravec. In fact, the simulation theory—that cornball, screen-junkie delusion that we actually live in a computer simulation, which Musk has repeated publicly many times—has its origins in Moravec.

Without a doubt, Moravec’s lucid, transhuman vision had a profound impact on Bostrom and Kurzweil, who in turn influenced Musk. Like a prophet by the waters of Babylon, Moravec spelled out our fate in his 1988 book Mind Children: The Future of Robot and Human Intelligence:

What awaits is not oblivion but rather a future which, from our present vantage point, is best described by the words “postbiological” or even “supernatural.” It is a world in which the human race has been swept away by the tide of cultural change, usurped by its own artificial progeny.

Out with the old, in with the new!

The ultimate consequences are unknown, though many intermediate steps are not only predictable but have already been taken. Today, our machines are still simple creations, requiring the parental care and hovering attention of any newborn, hardly worthy of the word “intelligent.” But within the next century they will mature into entities as complex as ourselves, and eventually into something transcending everything we know—in whom we can take pride when they refer to themselves as our descendants.

Without shedding a single tear, these robotic “mind children” will replace us.

Unleashed from the plodding pace of biological evolution, the children of our minds will be free to grow to confront immense and fundamental challenges in the larger universe. We humans will benefit for a time from their labors, but sooner or later, like natural children, they will seek their own fortunes while we, their aged parents, silently fade away. Very little need be lost in this passing of the torch—it will be in our artificial offspring’s power, and to their benefit, to remember almost everything about us, even, perhaps, the detailed workings of individual minds.

Imagine becoming a digital wraith, left to float around a data cloud for all eternity. And you thought mass immigration and trans kids were bad ideas.

Transhumanism is a dreamworld where technology is the highest power. In recent decades, this techno-religion has spread from the intellectual fringe to the world’s wealthiest men, and by extension, the most powerful corporations. Klaus SchwabKai-Fu Lee, Eric Schmidt, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos—all of them offer transhuman fantasies, each with its particular emphasis.

According to his own hype, Elon Musk is making these dreams come true, from sentient robots to AI-powered brain chips. Musk is the embodiment of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, a close partner to China, and arguably the greatest benefactor of the Great Reset. In other words, he’s no friend to legacy humans.

Yes, yes—a little “free speech” is great news in the short-term. Now conservatives can be smartasses on Twitter again. I can’t wait. But where is this tech revolution ultimately going?

When Musk says we’re already cyborgs, perpetually attached our smartphones, he’s not wrong. Rather than waving pompoms because the world’s richest transhumanist bought a stake in Twitter, otherwise sane observers should ask why we’re all plugging into the corporate borg.

 

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